Mar 17, 2008

Two days and counting

The feeling for this trip is beginning to change for me. I have been excited for about one month and it is now being replaced by a level of focus and determination that I really have never felt before a Vegas trip. The reason for this is that my number one goal for this trip is to win. Yes, I want to have fun and hang out with everyone, but in the end I won't be truly happy unless I come back a winner. I feel like I have the bankroll, along with a solid game plan to come out a winner. So onto the budget. Note: these amounts are subject to change depending on some additional input I might receive from the readers and my brother.

Sportsbook ($600): I strongly urge everyone to call Eric before the trip and let him walk you through his post on how to come up with what to bet on each game. It was an eye opening experience. While I was drawing out the equations on a big white board that I had when I used to run a book, it all started to make such clear sense. A couple of things I found out while doing this:
  • My probability of each game should be below 50%. What a shocker eh? I put it at 40%, but the peanut gallery (Carol) chimed in that it should be around 20%. Thanks for the vote of confidence honey.
  • By changing my P to a lower percentage, I can already take into account having some bad stretches. Makes me feel comfortable to then wager on my allotted games and know that in the end, I should be well within my budget.
  • I said I was going to only bet on 10 games a day, which is actually an increase over last year. With that being said, I already like 11 games on Thursday and that is without the NIT, Women's games, and the NBA. Will have to do a little more research on this.

Craps ($2000)- Yes, this is my biggest allotment of cash to one game. I absolutely love craps. And yes I will be playing $25 craps for one session. Why do I have a feeling that all of us will be at this craps table by ourselves with Eric, Don, Mike, and Kermit on one end and Lee, Micah, Wiz, and I on the other end and it will be a pass vs. don't pass war for the ages. This will probably end with a fist fight between a couple of us.

BJ ($1000)- I have about 6 BJ cards that I will be putting into everyone of my jeans and shorts so I will never be without one for the trip.

Roulette ($600)- I have added a cushion in on this budget for a round of stupid bets with Wiz.

Pai Gow ($300)- I have no idea on how much to budget here. I went with $300 last year so I'm going with the same again since it seemed to work out.

Wheel ($200)- Two sessions allotted.

Other ($300)- I have set aside some money for the spa.

10 comments:

Wiz said...

Highly enjoyed this post. What about $100 for golf bets? I think your pai gow allotment is a bit low. $300 won't even get you started, I think more like $600 would be a good starting point. Craps...I think we should take over a whole table and have everybody play the don't pass when I'm shooting, its actually a known fact I'm the worst craps roller in the world.

mer said...

You're not sitting next to my naked fat ass in the sauna. With that thought, you may divert that $300 to pai gow.

Layup said...

Kermit, I was hoping to get a couples massage together. No?

And I'm fully expecting us to totally take over a craps table.

Eric Z said...

When will Layup utter the words "Screw my budget, I'm playing" (or something to that effect) to someone in our group this week?

Before Fri 12:30 am PT -110
After Fri 12:30 am PT -110

Layup said...

Let us not forget the last couple trips where i actually stayed on budget.

mer said...

Layup, you read my mind.

Eric Z said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
Eric Z said...

I was thinking about your "craps civil war" scenario. The sides would probably be:

Pass: Layup, Don, Mike, Leland
Don't Pass: Eric, Kermit, Micah, Wiz

Let's play the feud!

Schillzilla said...

No poker $ in the budget???

Layup said...

I'm done with poker. I don't play enough anymore, and I tend to lose money playing in the no limit games.