Sep 30, 2006

NFL Week 4: "Ten Chances"


I loved this game. The contestant got ten chances to unscramble three prices for prizes - the last, of course, being a car. The prizes got more expensive as the game went on - the first prize was usually a two digit price, the second a three digit price, and so on.

At this point in the season - on chance #4 - an NFL team had better do a couple things to establish themself in order to position them to win a car. In TPiR terms, the contestant had better won the first prize and should be about to win the second prize in order to have a maximum number of guesses for the car.

Teams like the Bengals, Bears, have guessed the first two prizes easily and are well on their way of descrambling the digits " 8 6 1 4 0 " for the 1983 Trans Am.

Other teams are still stuck on the first prize, and haven't been able to use two digits out of "4 8 5" to win the Haggar Slacks. The Browns and Raiders are stuck here on chance 4, and haven't guessed the correct price of $45 yet. Now - it still is possible for either of those teams to pull it together and win the car, but they better move off the slacks this week.

On to the picks:

Car 20, NO 13. Maybe I'm giving Car's defense too much credit here.

Atl 27, Arz 13. Expect to see Matt Leinart in the game in the 2nd half.

SD 20, Bal 10. Let's just say that last week's game did not increase my respect for the Ravens. McNair threw some bad passes.

Min 24, Buf 17. When the hell will Chester Taylor get in the endzone consistently? How about a 2 TD game here?

Ind 30, NYJ 20. Maybe the Jets are good enough to keep this within 10.

KC 20, SF 17. It wouldn't shock me to see the upset here.

Mia 19, Hou 16. See above - Houston could win this.

Dal 23, Ten 20. I have no rational reason why I think the Titans will keep this close. This is now week #4 on the Eric Zahn -Titans betting bandwagon.

StL 26, Det 16. Why does this seem too obvious? That's not good. And HELLO BULGER - last week for you and then you get benched on 2 of my fantasy teams.

Was 16, Jax 12. I'm starting to agree with BSG - I think Leftwich is holding this team back.

Cle 20, Oak 17. Maybe the Browns will listen to the studio audience and write down "$45" for chance #4. Rest assured that I will yell "45 DOLLARS" into the phone late Sunday afternoon to Derek - either in joy or sheer and utter frustration.

Cin 31, NE 21. I just can't see the Pats in this game. I know, I know, Belichick will have the Pats ready after that debacle last week...

Chi 13, Sea 10. this will be a fun game to watch.

Phi 27, GB 24. I would never bet against GB on a Monday night.

Best Bets: (last week: 10-6; overall 23-22-2)

Car/NO Under 42
Atl -7.5
SD -2.5
Min +2
Min/Buf Over 34 1/2
SF +7
Mia/Hou Under 40 1/2
Ten +9.5
Dal/Ten Over 37
StL -5.5
Was +2.5
Jax/Was Under 34
Cin -5.5
Cin/NE Over 45 1/2
Sea/Chi Under 35
GB +11

5 comments:

dzahn07 said...

First, why is the 49er game an upset? You rip Jay for talking about the Steelers and then you say that it is an upset when a team who has one win bets another team that is winless and possibly has the second worst coach in the league?

And then you go for a true upset pick in my mind in the Skins and you don't write anything about that one???? What is the reason for Skins? They killed a terrible team and now you are ready to have them beat a playoff team? And I think you are taking the whole "Leftwich will hurt them" topic a little too far. Will Leftwich hurt them deep in the playoffs? Maybe. Will he hurt them against an average team? No. Jax only giving 2.5 points is gift. A GIFT I TELL YOU.

And I couldn't agree more with the sportsguy and you on the Pats situation. OK, Bill everyone knows that you are the boss and you have control. I like it. You need to do that to a certain extent in management or you will get abused by your employees. But in the end you do need some talent. Come on. You can prepare as much as you want, but if you don't have some talent, you can't hang with everyone else. And if its true on the entire $13 million that was supposed to be spent on free agents and wasn't, I would be super pissed if I was Brady.

And if Baltimore doesn't win, I'm going to owe half my office a lunch. Its amazing here in Long Beach. Half of the fans are Charger fans and half are still Raider fans. Couldn't agree more with the sportsguy that this town could support two NFL teams. Just look at baseball. Dodgers are 2nd in attendance and the Angels are 5th. But the problem is nobody cares. There are so many other issues that need to be addressed first like immigration, traffic, taxes, and our budget.

Other Brad said...

Double Ouch....

Although...Congrats on not oweing half your office a lunch though.

Eric Z said...

You remind me of Banya from Seinfeld....

"That's GOLD, Jerry! GOLD!"

That Jaguars pick is pure gold, huh Derek....

dzahn07 said...

last two picks: GB and the over.

Thank you very much

Eric Z said...

More GOLD, Derek, GOLD!