Statistical predictions for 1st round games

From the stats at kenpom.com, which gets a stat value for:
offensive efficiency: points per 100 possessions;
def eff: points given up per 100 possessions, and
temp: avg # of possessions a game.

Combining the two values for each opponent and you can get a prediction of an exact score. This can be helpful for over/unders, but I warn you it does not approx well with two teams that are slow (see Miami/Akron, Sat, 3/9. The o/v was a low 113; the stats said 121; I took the over, it came in at 106. )

Fla 92 Jackson St 55
Purdue 71.2 Az 71.0
Butler 68 ODU 63
Md 79 Davidson 67
ND 79 Winthrop 67
Oregon 70 Miami 60
GT 73 UNLV 67
Wisconsin 80 (!!) TxAMCC 61

Kansas 86 Niagara 58
Kentucky 68.8 Villanova 68.7
Illinois 60.7 Va Tech 60.6 (!)
Southern IL 62 Holy Cross 54
Duke 74 VCU 63
Pitt 70 Wright St 58
Ind 75 Gonzaga 70
UCLA 78 Weber 56

NC 84 Eastern Ky 55
Michigan St 66 Marq 64
Ark 67 USC 66 (!)
Tex 82 NM St 69
Vandy 72 GW 67
Wash St 68 ORU 60
BC 73 Tex Tech 69
Gtown 77 Belmont 57

Ohio St 81 Cent CT 56
X 77 BYU 74
Tennessee 86 LB St 72
Virginia 77 Albany 64
Louisville 69 Stanford 63
Tx AM 79 Penn 61
Creighton 73 Nevada 69 (!)
Memphis 82 North Texas 59

Hmmm... I'll study this on the plane....