George's Mom, Estelle, is the walking definition of the word overreaction. How many times during the series do we hear Estelle say "OH MY GOD" to George's (and his father's) antics?
So what if Frank and Kramer are trying on manssiers behind closed doors? So what if George is "treating his body like an amusement park"? No need for hysterics, like Estelle.
Well, after week 1's results, it seems like a lot of prognoticators and experts are turning into Estelle's. They overreact a loss (or, in some cases, a win) and swing wildly that way for week 2. (You want overreaction? Try watching a Browns game with you, Eric. -ed).
Well, yes, I plead guilty to that, too. Anyone who tries to talk to me during a Browns game will understand this.
Anyway, the trick here is to figure out the overreactions and go the other way. Here we go:
Indy 27, Ten 17. Let's not king the Titans the champs of the AFC South just yet. The Colts can stop the run, and that's ALL the Titans did against Jax.
SF 23, StL 20, OT: A gut choice here; Janice made me a sausage and cheese omelet this morning, so my gut is feeling pretty good.
NYG 19, GB 13. Yes, the Giants secondary is weak, but who are they facing this week? Favre - Mr. Inconsistent - Donald Driver, and a cast of castoff receivers. I think the Giants D will be OK here.
NO 28, TB 17. I think Tampa is awful; New Orleans shoul dbe ready to exact revenge. They lost to the best team in football, ok? The Saints didn't lose to the Browns or anything.
Jax 20, Atl 10. I'm running away from this game. No clue who will show up.
Pit 20, Buf 14. OK, let's dissect last week's disaster. People are really overreacting here to Pittsburgh, believeing what they want to believe ("Look, the Steel Curtain is back!" "Big Ben is back to his rookie year performance).
The truth is they did not dominate us in that game.
(uh, hello? Did you watch it?)
Well, OK, but we didn't get manhandled.
(Not in the 2nd half, but the 1st half?)
All right, all right.... we were dominated, but we handed them 17 points on a platter.
(That's better.)
We gave them 17 points in the 1st quarter. They did not score on drives that started in their own territory. This is not to prop up the Browns, but let's not crown the Steelers, either. This will be a struggle - Pit will win, but it will be close.
Car 16, Hou 14 - Bet on the under on both of these until proven otherwise.
Dal 23, Mia 13 - I just can't see the Dolphins being in this.
Arizona 27, Seattle 24 (OT) - A wild NFC West Shootout. People are writing the Cards off after one bad game. They will come out pumped for their home opener.
Det 24, Min 17. People, it was Atlanta. Joey gave them 2 TDs. Minny's D is good - but not 85 Bears good. Harrington will make teams look like that.
Den 27, Oak 10. If Buffalo can stay with Pittsburgh in the 1:00 game, then this is a lock. However, if Pittsburgh destroys Buffalo, then Denver isn't that good and Oakland may keep it close. (and how about that overrated Oakland defense, Derek?)
Chicago 24, Kansas City 8 - Nuff said.
Bal 23, NYJ 10 - Turnovers on both sides may allow the over to hit, but I ain't biting.
NE 31, SD 27 - I don't think cheater-gate will affect NE. Should be a classic.
Phil 27, Was 16. Again, let's not sell Philly just yet. They faced a good - above average - GB defense.
Best bets:
last week: 11-4-1 (Derek: 6-8-2)
Ind -7
SF +3
NYG -2.5
GB/NYG Under 38
NO -3.5
Buf +10
Hou +6.5
Car/Hou under 38
Dal -3.5
Az +3
Az/Sea over 42 1/2
Det -3
Den -9 1/2
Chi -12
NE/SD Over 46 1/2
Phi -7
8 favorites (yikes), 4 dogs, 2 overs, 2 unders. Would have liked to have more dogs in there.....
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