Dec 27, 2006

NFL Week 17 Picks: "Plinko"


First of all, hope everyone had a Merry Christmas and for those readers not in North Carolina this weekend, have a very Happy New Year.

For the final week of the season, we come to ye olde favorite, Plinko. You never know what's going to happen when you slide that chip down the plinko board - and you never know what kind of performance you are going to get from teams during this last week. Will they mail it in (I'm talking to you, Cleveland)? Will they fight for their embattled coach (Raiders, Cards)? Will they fight for a coach they love even though they have no talent (Lions)? What playoff contenders will fall on their face this week? You know one of these teams - Giants, Jets, Broncos - will lose.

Let's go to the board:

Was 24, NYG 23. A fitting end to the Giants' season, no?
KC 20, Jax 17. I have no idea on this game.
NYJ 17, Oak 13. Oakland's defense is good. This spread is way too high.
Sea 24, TB 10. I know tampa is favored, and Seattle has nothing to play for, but I think Seattle wants to establish something before the season is over - they'd like to look good in 1 game.
Cin 27, Pit 13. The Bengals taking out their frustrations.
NO 20, Car 17. Yikes. Don't watch this.
Ten 24, NE 20. Milton Berle game I. Why would the Pats show anything here?
Cle 47, Houston 3. So Ken Dorsey goes out with a line like 35-51, 354 yds, 3 tds. Now what do we do?
StL 27 , Min 17. Jackson plays well in domes.
Dal 23, Det 20. Milton Berle game 2.
Den 26, SF 23. This will be a fight to the end.
SD 27, Az 10. Warner is back at QB for Arizona? Good luck there. And the Chargers are playing for something.
Ind 20, Mia 16. I'm rethinking this one now, but I think we all are overvaluing the Colts.
Phi 24, Atl 16. Bye bye Jim Mora.
Bal 26, Buf 13. Can't fault Jauron for passing up that dicey FG last week into the wind. Gus Johnson was apopletic in the booth.
GB 27, Chi 24. C'mon - NBC is scripting this game. Favre goes out with a win and into the playoffs. You know it's happening.

16 best bets:
Eric: last week: 7-9; overall: 132-116-8
Derek: last week: 8-8: overall: 125-131-1

I need to go better than 6-10 to guarantee a winning record (>52.3% ) for the year.

Was +2.5
Oak +11
Sea +4
Cin -6
NO +3
StL -2
Det +13
SF +10 1/2
SF/Den Over 40 1/2
SD -13.5
SD/Az under 44
Mia +8.5
Ind/Mia under 42
Bal -8.5
GB +2.5
GB/Chi over 36

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