Nov 18, 2007

NFL Picks Week 11: Bizarro Seinfeld



How about those Spartans! Next Saturday, in Cleveland, vs. Wabash at noon. I'm actually going up for the Browns game on Sunday, but I don't think we will be able to make it to the CWRU football game the day before. No matter - I'll post the live internet video feed for all 3 of you that are interested.

Anyway, I've been waiting all season to break out this Seinfeld reference at the right time, and I think this week is the week.

There are a lot of teams out there where public opinion sways wildly everyday. Those opinions certainly judge the line and how people think about games. What we have to do is cut through the instant analysis and get to the soul of the team....what does their body of work say about them? How does this week's hot read differ from what you know about this team throughout the season?

Let's start:

Hou 27, NO 24. Well, maybe a bad example to start. However, we have a clean slate here with Houston - Schaub and Johnson are back - and is this the beginning of another losing streak for the Saints?

Cin 26, Az 17. Current wisdom: Cincinnati sucks. Real wisdom: You going to only give 3 to Kurt Warner on the road?

Ind 23, KC 14. Current wisdom: Indy is steaming mad and will punish anyone this week. Real wisdom: Punish how? With what weapons? Harrison & Gonzalez are out.

Min 16, Oak 15. I really have nothing much to say here. But Minnesota being favored by 4 1/2 without a quarterback or A Peterson does not make a lot of sense.

GB 24, Car 20. Current wisdom: Favre! Lambeau! 14-2, here we come! Real wisdom: A desperate Carolina team is coming in with their own aging, magic quarterback and a coach that can play defense.

Det 27, NYG 24. I've gone back and forth on this one. Not sure.

TB 20, Atl 10. Current wisdom: There's a team in Tampa this year? Real wisdom: Your 2007 NFC South champions (and you don't think they'd be feovred over the Lions in a playoff game?)

Pit 27, NYJ 13. Again, not a lot of comment here.

Chi 20, Sea 19. Current wisom: Chicago sucks! Hasselbeck can move the ball through the air! Real wisdom: Seattle is completely one-dimensional, and they are not good on defense (Monday night does not count). This will be an upset.

Jax 20, SD 16. I have no idea which team on either side will show up.

SF 19, StL 16. Classic game. Current wisdom: All of a sudden the Rams are back! Real wisdom: Do you really believe that? Really? This is an outdoor game, too.

Phi 20, Mia 17. Current wisdom: McNabb! The Eagles are back in it! Real wisdom: Miami doesn't quit, and Philly is due for an other head-scratchign game.

Dal 27, Was 20. Don't feel good about this, but this could be a trap for the Cowboys.

NE 34, Buf 16. I don't think Buffalo will keep this close. The line is set right.

Ten 24, Den 17. Browns need a Titan loss, so I will pick them to hedge my bets. Titans win, I win! Titans lose, Browns fans win!

Best bets this week: (last week: 8-9-1; overall: 70-76-10).

Hou -1

Cin -3

Cin/Az Under 48

KC + 14 1/2

Oak + 4 1/2

Mia +9 1/2

Car + 9 1/2

GB/Car over 37 1/2

Det +3

TB -3

Pit -9 1/2

Chi + 5 1/2

SF +3

Was +11

Ten +2

only 4 favorites, and 9 underdogs. Hoo boy, the dogs better be a trend this week.

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