Sep 25, 2021

NFL Week 3: Intro to UTH

 

It’s so funny to go back and read these posts and how much energy we used to put forth on deciding on where to stay.   So after the big decision to leave the Monte and go to the Mirage in 2007, we quickly moved to the Palazzo in 2008.  I’m not too sure why we did this other than it was brand new and we could still sleep 4 to a room as they were bigger rooms.   I do remember that they had closed down half of the casino because of the market crash and the gambling was a little lacking so we were always going back over to the Mirage.  This trip had a ton of highlights; Emeril’s chef’s table, Wiz-Kermit argument on doubling on 16, Eric singing Diana Ross while hitting a hard 8 for the table, Wiz and I betting the don’t pass while rolling and Kermit betting the pass line and Wiz and I getting hot (at an empty table), Eric chucking dice into someone’s drink, watching basketball in a poolside Cabana,  and of course the infamous Micah wedding ring incident that put him into immediate retirement.  It was also the first year where Eric found the Ultimate Texas Holdem game and introduced it to the group:   

 

I introduced Layup to the table Ultimate Texas Hold em game - I started with 100, and left with....120; Layup started with 200 and left with...about 600. He started betting the sucker bonus bets and hit. Good for him.

 

Then Layup and I went over to the Ultimate Texas Hold Em Poker table game. Great game - I'll explain more about it later. It was just Layup and I and the dealer - a 60-ish year old man who could be compared to Wilford Brimley. (Layup likes Cliff Clavin, but I say no.). We start talking basketball - he loved Western Kentucky - and we found out that he used to referree high school basketball in Michigan. Well, some of you know that I reffed JV ball in Ohio when I got out of school, so the dealer and I hit it off immediately. Layup, however, was not finding the conversation to his liking. It got so bad that it got in the way of his dealing. He would be holding the cards, ready to give us our 2nd card - but get engrossed in his stories (one of them was his recollection of reffing Derek Jeter in a high school game.) He held the cards for a good 45-60 seconds while talking - and not dealing. Oh, this was driving Layup crazy. I enjoyed watching him get more and more irritated.

 

There was also something that happened on Sunday at the craps table, but no one blogged about it and I can’t remember.   If Lee or Wiz can remember please let me know.  Anyway, onto the picks:

 

Texans at Panthers -8: Took the Panthers as my suicide pick.

Cardinals 21 at Jaguars 17 (+7):  I like the Jags to keep it close.  Week 3 tends to be the kitchen sink game for these types of bad teams.  I expect a let down game from the Cardinals

Colts 14 at Titans 17 (-5.5):  I’m not a fan of either team.  Titans are not good this year, but found a way to pull one out last week. While the Colts covered for me last week, Wentz was horrible.  I that was a horrendous game. 

Ravens 31 at Lions 13 (+8):  Ravens kill bad teams.  The Lions can’t stop the run.  I know this is a letdown spot for the Ravens, but I’ve been on the other side of a Ravens let down game too many times.   

Skins 17 at Bills 24 (-7.5):    I don’t know what to do with this one.  I don’t hate Heinke but the Skins D is struggling.  I think the Bills are overvalued, but they come back home after losing their season opener so I expect maximum effort.

Saints 10 at Pats 21 (-3):  How is this line not higher.  I don’t know how the Saints will score in this one. 

Chargers 28 at Chiefs 31 (-6.5):  Chargers always plays the Chiefs tight in Arrowhead.  Chiefs D is problematic.  Like a close game here.

Atl 17 at Giants 14 (-3): Daniel Jones at home is horrible.  Bet on him too many times in this spot. And this line is a total trap.

Bears 13 at Browns 21 (-7):  Are we sure Baker is healthy?   Bears run D is solid, so it will be up to Baker to throw to some bad WRs due to injuries. 

Bengals 21 at Steelers 27 (-3):  How did I not see that let down by the Steelers last week. They do this every time. Beat a really good team and then lose a layup of a game.  The only concern here is if TJ Watt plays. That Raiders game changed when he went out.  

Dolphins 17 at Raiders 14 (-4):  What is the drop off between Brissett and Tua?  Zero.  Raiders are riding so high with people talking about David Carr as a MVP candidate.   All the bets are coming in on the Raiders.   Love this spot for the Dolphins. 

Jets 9 at Broncos 17 (-10):  The Broncos are so over valued right now, but how can you take the Jets on the road against that D?   

Bucs 22 at Rams 20 (+1.5):  Rams run game is struggling…who cares since the Bucs run D is amazing so the Rams will be forced to throw the ball. Stafford in his first big game.  I don’t like it.     

Seahawks 21 at Vikings 28 (+1.5):  Vikings should be 2-0, but now are 0-2 because of two bonehead plays.  They finally return to home where they are so much better.   Seahawks can’t stop the run and I’m confused as to why the Seahawks are favored here.

Packers 28 at 49ers 35 (-3.5):  Something is seriously wrong with the Packers D and the niners corners are hurting. Think this is a shoot out.   

Eagles at Cowboys (-4): Aren’t these Monday night NFC East divisional games always 3 points?   

 

 

SuperContest 3-6-1

 

Ravens

Falcons

Steelers

Dolphins

Vikings

 

Best Bets 15-14-1

Jags

Ravens

Pats

Pats Under

Chargers

Falcons

Browns Under

Steelers

Dolphins

Broncos Under

Vikings

Vikings Over

Packers Over

Eagles

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