Sep 18, 2021

NFL Week 2: Transition to the Mirage

 March 2007 was when everything changed out in Vegas.  The main group left the Monte Carlo after being there for 10 years.  I remember when we first stayed at the Monte when it first opened.  That was when our daily budget was $100 a day and we would play 12 hours of 4-8 limit hold em. We would go over to the New York New York to get a taste of a nicer casino.   

After the 2006 trip, we all made the decision that it was time to leave as the rooms were rough and the gambling was lacking.    We all joined Wiz and Micah at the Mirage and have been there for the last 14 years.   We had hooked Don and Mike to join as a part of the main group, but for this trip we lost Jay, Laura, and Lee.  

We were still at a time where there were no TVs at the tables, so that required us to travel to a sportsbook to watch the basketball games. Maryland was still solid at this point, so we had to go to Caesar's Palace to watch the Maryland game as they had a bar where we could all hang out and drink.  Watching basketball games with Eric, Wiz, and Micah back then was pure comedy.  So much  name calling, emotional outbursts, and side gambling that keeps everyone entertained.   Here are a couple of clips from Eric’s and Wiz’s recap from the morning session of games:


“As Wiz has said, there was a lot of nervous moments in that game, compounded by seeing Louisville up 30 over a weak Stanford team. I pulled a Khruschev at one point, taking off my loafer and banging it on the bar at Caesar's. 

 

“But as the Terps started to break away, we broke out in celebration. I distinctly remember a free throw with about 1 min to play to put the Terps up 10; Micah was just about to do a strip tease on the bar; Derek and Wiz were hurting each other doing high-fives; and I was playing the coach, nervously pacing back and forth behind the bar, hoping the clock would tick faster than ever before.

 

“During the game Derek was playing video poker but Eric and myself somehow took over the machine from him, while playing with his money we decided to play the “double down” bet which means you have a chance to double your winnings if you pick a card higher than the dealers. We hit a straight and decide to go for the “double down” bet. Dealer’s card is a King, we are dejected. Somehow Eric picks the Ace and again we celebrate like we won a million dollars when in reality it was $2.25

 

That was one of Eric’s most memorable traits. His ability to plan for the group and then being so creative on making any moment fun for all of us.  His excitement, energy and emotions were contagious.  That’s why so many people loved him and he was just so much fun to be around. 

 

How does this play into week 2 picks?   Well one of my most memorable traits is to over react.  Usually with anger.   But in terms of the NFL, I tend to overreact to week 1 games.   I’m going to try and not do that here as I tend to do poorly in week 2.  Onto the picks 

 

Giants 17 at Redskins 20 (-3.5):  Why is this 3.5?  Giants weren’t that bad and Fitz is gone.   Line doesn’t make sense. I’m staying away.   

Broncos 21 at Jags 20 (+6):  Not going to read too much into the Jags Houston game as I didn’t like them on the road for their first game.  Broncos traveling for the second week in a row and didn’t look great against the Giants.   I really like the Jags here and can’t believe they are getting 6 points at home.

Texans 10 at Browns 28 (-12.5):  Browns looked great, except for the 4th quarter.  This is a must win game at home against a team riding high.  

Bills 17 at Dolphins 21 (+3.5):  Need to make as much money as possible on the Dolphins D before Vegas catches on.  Dolphins will be able to move the ball.  I know that the Bills own the Dolphins, and this could be a let down game for the Dolphins after that huge win against the Pats.   Will tread

Rams 24 at Colts 21 (+3.5): This is a trap if I ever seen one and I would of fallen for this in years past.   Everyone is talking about the Rams and how dominate they are and Stafford is a MVP candidate and the Colts didn’t look great last week.  That Bears game was closer than one would think with fucking Andy Daulton as QB has me a little cautious.     

49ers 17 at Eagles 20 (+3.5):  49ers banged up and second week on the road.  What an amazing back door cover by the Lions last week.  Eagles looked dominate mainly on D.  Everyone is still healthy.  Looks like Hurts has some weapons.  I love the Eagles here to win outright.

Bengals 17 at Bears 24 (-2.5):  Bengals coach is horrific.  Now put them on the road getting less than 3 points?  I’ll take the Bears, even with Daulton who shouldn’t be starting.

Saints 14 at Panthers 21  (+3): Why are the Panthers underdogs?  Division game with a home team as a dog.  I’ll take it.  Plus

Raiders 10 at Steelers 31 (-5.5):  Raiders at home last week, opening up that stadium, in a crazy game will be going on the road against a top rated D.   Big Ben looks solid, nothing special.  I think this will be a huge blowout.

Pats 24 at Jets 17 (+6): In division games I like to take home dogs.  But I just can’t.  I watched that Jets game and I can’t imagine the Pats D letting Wilson do what he did in the second half.   Plus the Pats own the Jets. 

Vikings 24 at Cards 27  (-3.5):  Both teams are heading in the opposite directions after week 1.   The Bengals game shouldn’t of been that close, but the Bengals have a horrible coach that let the Vikings back in.  I think the Vikings will get their offense moving, but I also think Murray is finally healthy.  Have we all of a sudden forgot how back Kingsbury is?   I’m taking the Vikings here.   

Falcons 21 at Bucs 28 (-12.5):  I believe this is the first time ever a team was favored in week 1 and then is a double digit dog in week 2.  This is such an over reaction in my eyes.   Falcons should be able to pass the ball and keep the back door open. 

Titans 17 at Seahawks 35 (-5.5): I have a 50-1 superbowl ticket on the Seahawks.   I thought all offseason the Titans were in big trouble and faded them in week 1.  I think this line is too low. 

Cowboys 28 at Chargers 35 (-3):  Chargers have a real coach and a healthy D.  Cowboys are banged up and have a horrible coach. 

KC 31 at Ravens 28 (+3.5):  This is the Ravens superbowl. They will be able to run the ball.  Jackson will be amped up after costing the Ravens the game.  So much hype about Mahommes never losing in September and that might still be the case, but the Ravens are still getting 3.5 points at home in primetime. 

Lions 10 at Packers 28 (-11):  I have no clue on this one.   Lions are bad.  Packers should be better, but Rodgers attitude has me very very concerned.   Gun to my head I’m going with the Packers, mainly because I need them to be good for fantasy football purposes. 

 

 

SuperContest 1-3-1 (not a good start)

Eagles

Ravens

Jaguars

Bears

Steelers

 

Top Picks (7-6-1)

Panthers

Bears

Dolphins

Eagles

Jags

Atl

Ravens

Chargers

Steelers

Vikings

Vikings Over

Browns

Dolphins Under

Seahawks

Seahawks over

Pats Under

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