Oct 26, 2014

NFL Week 8: The Marathon Qualifier

Well, we had a fun experience this weekend. P&G is a premier sponsor of the Guangzhou Marathon, which is coming up in late November. I signed up for the half marathon through the work contact - where the application asked nice questions like weight, blood type and salary. Ha! I've always wanted to run a half marathon over here before I leave -the farthest I have run is 10K in Cincinnati a few years ago.

The application also asked for a "certificate" to show that I am "qualified" to run in the marathon or half-marathon. Well, I don't have that, since I haven't run in one before! So the leader told me I had to go do a test run - any applicant that doesn't have experience needs to run in the test run on Oct 25. As I found out more about it, I had to run 8K - about 5 miles - in less than 2 hours. People who can do that would be qualified and can run in the half marathon in November.

(Why this qualifier? Well, last year, so many Chinese natives signed up for the marathon that were novices. Some couldn't even run 1K, let alone 13 or 26 miles. 2 people died in the race because they weren't accustomed to running these distances. So they put in this qualifier to weed out these novices before the real race. )

The registration was supposed to start at 8:30, and at 9:30 the race would begin. The cutoff time was 11:30 - so you had to finish by 11:30 to get your certificate. I arrived at the stadium - it was on a university campus - at around 8:15. I immediately saw a huge line of people by some tents. Uh oh - the lines were enormous even before the check in was supposed to begin!

My registration number was "17" out of like 2500 or so.....they put all the foreigners in the first 100 numbers..... I stood in line for the tent labeled "0001-0400". 400 people will come to register at this tent.....and there were only 2 people staffed at this tent. Red flags started waving in my brain.

At 8:15 I was about 75th in line; at 8:30, the processing started and it was a sloooooooow go. Around 9:00, I was getting near the front - about 10 away from the table - when I saw some people running on the track next to the line and heading under a tunnel. People were putting cones out and the Chinese officials were yelling some directions in Chinese. What's going on? Has the race started? But me and 1500 of my Chinese friends are still in line!

I finally get to the front of the line; I get my bib sticker and told to head to the left side of the track. I go over there, get in a group of 20 or so people; an official barks some instructions in Chinese and a few runners take off..... I stand there motionless.

Thankfully, a native Hong Konger comes up to me. "Hello", he says. "I know English"

Great! Can you tell me - what's going on? Is the race starting?

"Uh, no, the officials realize they can't register everyone in time for the start. So they've changed the qualification course."

OK.....what is it?

"Well, we run once around the track here in the stadium, go under the tunnel to the soccer field across the street, run once around the soccer field, and then collect our certificates."

Um....is it timed?

"Oh, no, if you can complete that in any time, you can be qualified. Want to join me while we jog? "

Sure, I said, as I just shook my head.

We ran about 6 minutes - maybe, at most, 3/4 of a mile. The video here tried to capture the course; the starting stadium is in the background with the poles; this is the final soccer field where we picked up the certificates at the end.

For this run, there were 4 water stations - where you could pick up cups of water, if needed - and the ambulance. I did not need any water.

All that on a Saturday morning - for a 6 minute run. I went home and ran for about 45 minutes while finishing the Week 8 Beating the Books podcast.

The runners? Most were dressed appropriately and looked like they knew what they were doing; however, there were the few dressed in collared shirts, slacks, cargo pants, and sandals. Here's one runner who completed the qualification....

This whole experience does not surprise me ....fairly typical of a Chinese event. You never know the surprises that will come up.

Talking about surprises- well, that's what the Browns gave me last week. I should have saw that coming a mile away......Hoyer had not had a bad game yet, and was due for one; we seemed to have read all the press clippings that declared us to be 6-2 automatically. I think we will focus at home here and run Oakland out of the building in the first half, and then have to hold on for dear life at the end to win......please, don't lose again to a winless team.

On to the games:

Det 24, Atl 13.  Atlanta is horrible. Why did I pick them last week? Baltimore moved the ball at will last week. How does Atlanta score on Detroit?

Sea 23, Car 20. Seattle's not good enough just to show up and run someone out of their building, but I don't think Carolina has the weapons to take advantage.

Bal 27, Cin 24. The last stand for Cincinnati, and Baltimore will want to win after losing in week 1.

Mia 24, Jax 16. Yes, the Jaguars defense is good - but their offense is horrible. I don't know how they break 20 here vs. a revitalized Ryan Tannehill.

KC 26, StL 16. St Louis played every trick known to Lombardi against Seattle, and barely won. I know KC is off a big win and may have a letdown, but the Rams will have the bigger letdown.

NE 30, Chi 27. Discouting the Bengals win, the Pats' defense is not that good. Chicago has the weapons to stay with them in a shootout.

NYJ 23, Buf 17. Orton with no running backs heading to the Meadowlands to face rex Ryan? I know the Jets are 1-6, but I don't see the Bills scoring more than 20, and I am trusting the Jets offense to continue to improve.

TB 28, Min 23. The only reason for this pick is that Tampa is off a bye.

Hou 24, Ten 17. Houston's defense vs a rokkie QB making his first start? I know it's a road game, but I don't see Tennessee moving the ball much.

Az 27, Phi 20. Just can't shake the feeling that the Az D line will eat the Philly O line for lunch.

Ind 23, Pit 13. Pittsburgh is not good. If they didn't have those 3 minutes at the end of the half vs. Houston, they would have been blown out.

GB 27, NO 24. Not sold on New Orleans' defense to close out a critical game like this.

Dal 23, Was 20.  These games are always close, right? And it's Colt McCoy's homecoming!!

Best bets: 15 of them. Last week: 6-7; overall: 43-53-3

Det -3 1/2
Atl/Det under 45 1/2
Bal/Cin over 45
KC -7
Chi +6
Chi/NE over 51
NYJ -3
Min/TB over 43
Hou -3 1/2
Az -1 1/2
Ind -3 1/2
Ind/Pit under 49 1/2
GB +2 1/2
Was +9
Was/Dal under 49

Supercontest picks:  Last week: 2-3; overall : 21-14

Det -3 1/2
NYJ -3
Hou -2
Ind -3 1/2
Was +9

I really don't like having 4 favorites on that list.


 

Oct 19, 2014

NFL Week 7: The Library

As I probably have mentioned a few times, the business center of Guangzhou has been completely
built in 10 years. The central business district was farmland as late at 2000; the city decided to create a new center for the planned growth complete with hotels, museums, and other cultural buildings. This center, called "Pearl River New Town" (or Zhu Jiang new Town), was still under construction when we arrived in 2010, is mostly complete now but new buildings open up all the time.

When we stayed at the Ritz in the first few days of our life here, the new Guangzhou library was being build right next door. It looked like it was going to be fabulous - modern architecture, at least 7 floors, a lot of glass. It was completed in 2011 but we never made a visit until a few months ago.

The first picture is from the inside - the library is two towers that look like leaning books touching at the top. The middle is a beautiful atrium. We walked around and saw that there was an English section!

The library seemed like a college one - tons of young, 20-something people all hunched over desks studying or writing. Eager beavers, apparently!

We just had to make our way up to the English section - it was on one of the top floors, naturally. The section was about 9-10 half filled shelves of ......random stuff.

After 30 seconds it was clear that there weren't any new books in this section. It looked like a collection of old books from someone's closet that was displayed for a garage sale. Books with the binding cracked and frayed. Sun-discolored covers. And it contained the opposite of time-sensitive material .

Here are two books we saw at the library:

1. First, in case you need to send random faxes, here is a fax directory for the entire (?) USA as of 2000! (Does anyone out there still have a fax machine?)

2. Ah, Mr. Chinese student. You are thinking to go to the US for college? Great idea! Here, to do your research....have a list of the top US Universities, as rated in 1995. I'm sure the ratings haven't changed much in 20 years.

Just...fascinating. I have a feeling some Nigerian scammer sold the Fax book to the library after he was done using it to send junk faxes.

The Browns......well, all I can say is that I am terrified of this week's game. We are favored----on the road----by more than a field goal. Wow !  Talent wise, yes, we should win this game by a touchdown, but I hope this team is not reading any press clippings - or looking ahead on our schedule...(Don't do it! Don't look ahead! *cough*Jacksonville*Oakland*cough*Tampa*) Don't project!!!

As for my picks, it looks like I was using an NFL preview guide from the Guangzhou library the last two weeks. What a disaster, especially last week. I got burned by 2 of the game-ending pick sixes last week. On to the games:

Sea 27, StL 13: Seattle has got to be pissed after losing to Dallas and maybe they are in a better mood after the Harvin trade. I watched that Rams game Monday night after their 14-0 lead -yikes.

Chi 24, Mia 13. Gut feeling that the Bears have righted the ship. Can't see Miami scoring enough to stay with the Bears.

GB 30, Car 24. Impressed with Cam and the Panthers' O; the Packers D is loose against the run - another good day for Cam?

Bal 27, Atl 24. Pure desperation game for the Falcons. They have the weapons to exploit the lone weakness of the Ravens - their secondary.

Ten 20, Was 17. Gambling that Locker will start; The Skins should not be favored over anyone by more than a field goal.

Cin 31, Ind 28. Cincinnati has the weapons (running) to hammer the Colts, and this is a good enough D to handle a one-dimensional offense. (although that D has given up 41 and 37 in their last two games).

Buf 20, Min 16.  I see a lot of rushing attempts in this game. Will be played very close to the vest as each team wants to stay close.

Det 24, NO 21. I expect the Saints' D to be better after the bye, and the Lions' D is top notch.

SD 24, KC 23. Chiefs off a bye and have 2 weeks to prepare for a  Chargers team that was exposed a bit in Oakland (at least defensively).

Oak 20, Az 17. I think carr continues to mature as the Raiders QB; the coaching change and the bye did wonders for the Raiders and they will keep improving.

Dal 27, NYG 26. You don't give this many points away in an NFC East clash like this. What's that? You want me to look at last weekend's Sunday Night game?

Den 31, SF 24. Expect to be a close game with the Niners running and trying to pressure Manning to force throws.

Pit 31, Hou 17. The Steelers will be ready for this, as they need to shut up all the critics.

Best bets: 13 of them. Last week: 2-10-1 (!!!), overall: 37-46-3

Sea -6 1/2
Chi -3
Mia/Chi under 48
Atl +6 1/2
Ten +5 1/2
Ten/Was under 45 1/2
Cin +3 1/2
Cin/Ind over 50
Min/Buf under 43 1/2
Oak +3 1/2
Az/Oak under 44 1/2
NYG +5
Pit -3 1/2

Supercontest: with my record last week, it's a miracle I went 2-3 last week. Overall: 19-11

Atl +6 1/2
Ten +5 1/2
Chi -3
Oak +3 1/2
Pit -3 1/2

 

Oct 12, 2014

NFL Week 6: Card Playing

Hello from the US! It is 2:45 am Sunday morning and Janice and I can't sleep as we are going through the stress of house hunting. Needed to take a time out and get this post up.

Today's topic is the constant curiosity that the Chinese have on anything Westerners do. This photo is from a plane trip we were taking in China; Freddie and I were playing gin on the ride. The lady next to Freddie was fascinated by the game; she stared at his cards - but did not say anthing - for about 10 mintues. Then the guy in the aisle (in the black and white) came up, and sidled next to me. No drink, not standing in line - just stood there, by my shoulder, looking at my cards.

Freddie and I continued playing; I think he was just trying to understand the game, or is just curious to see how Westerners pass the time. We just kept playing, shuffling and dealing - and smiling to them every once in a while. The guy left about about 5 minutes.
 

This sort of stuff just gets old after a while- the constant fishbowl and lack of privacy. They are geniunely curious but can't communicate to ask questions, so they will just stand there to see if they can understand just by watching. And if they don't get it, they will stand there and smile until they get bored and move along.

.
Anyway, I feel like the Browns are starting to be in this sort of fishbowl. The national media is starting to take a bit of an interest. Are they any good? Let's see if they can beat the Steelers at home. If we win, they will hover around us for a bit longer. If we lose today, oh well, let's move on to the next shiny object in the NFL....hey look, the Jags! . . On to the games: .

Buf 20, NE 17. I think the Bills' defense will attack the front line of the Pats and make life problematic for Brady and the passing game. .
 

Cin 27, Car 16 Car has no running game, and I can't believe the Cam will be able to move the ball thru the air on the road vs. this D. By the way, Chris Myers is doing this game - he was on the red-eye from LA to Cincinnati with me on the flight Thursday night. Why is he flying a red-eye?


GB 23, Mia 20 Just the sort of game that the Packers will struggle with. I can see the Dolphins making a few stops here to stay in teh game for a while.


Min 27, Det 23 Everyone loves Teddy! Ill give the Lions 3 field goals to make up for their horrendous kicking over the first 4 weeks.


Den 24, NYJ 13 I know, too easy. But what has the Jets done on offense to show they can score more than 13 points? Just think Ryan has some things up his sleeve to keep Manning in check.


Bal 27, TB 16 I am impressed by the Ravens defense; their red zone D is awesome. I can't believe that Mike Glennon will solve that problem.


Jax 20, Ten 17 I watched the Browns-Titans game last week 2 times; I still don't know what Tennessee does well. When they needed a few first downs in the 2nd half last week, they could not get it. The Jags have a quietly good defense.


SD 23, Oak 10 Again, is this too easy?


Atl 34, Chi 27 So unimpressed with Chicago's defense. The only way CHicago wins is if the opponent self-destructs; Atlanta will not do that at home in a must-win game for them.


Was 23, Az 20 Just a hunch here. The QB situation in Arizona is too messy and I don't think they will be fluid.


Sea 31, Dal 13 Seattle will be able to stop DeMarco and force dallas to pass - and I like Seattle's defense's chances at home vs. Romo


Phi 27, NYG 24 Absolutely anything can happen in this game - a 30 pt Eagles blowout or a 20 pt Giants win. So I will stay away here.


StL 23, SF 20, OT The Rams usually play the 49ers well, and the 49ers will be looking ahead to next week's game vs. the Broncos.


Best bets: 13 of them. Last week: 6-8-1; overall: 35-36-2

Buf +2 1/2

Cin -7

GB/Mia under 49

Det/Min over 43

Den/NYJ under 48

Bal -3 1/2

Jax +4

SD -7

Atl -3 1/2

Atl/Chi over 54 1/2

Was +3 1/2

Sea -8

StL +3 1/2

Supercontest picks: Last week: 4-1; overall: 17-8

Cin -7

Bal -3

Jax +5 1/2

Sea -8

StL +3 1/2

Oct 5, 2014

NFL Week 5: Etiquette

Back to normal now in the Zahn household; we arrived at home late last night at 2 am due to the 1 hour wait in immigration. It is customary to have 15 immigration lines open for Chinese citizens, and only 1 or 2 for foreigners, even when the population of the incoming flights is about 50% residents and 50% foreigners. Also, it's clear they put the trainees in the "foreigner" lanes to insure extra delay.

The Browns are back this week after a very early bye; it's like I have to re-learn the routine again of trying to watch the Browns game while keeping an eye on the other 8 games. On this note, I'll talk about the constant education of the Chinese public of the customs and mannerisms of other cultures.

Attached is a snapshot of a page in the resident's newsletter. This tries to explain to the Chinese on the manners and etiquette of Americans.  I think it's hilarious as to what they highlight and what they choose to ignore.

Go ahead and click on the picture to expand it - you can read the 7 helpful hints given below. Let me take a minutes to explain each point:

1. This may seem over-extreme; we certainly ask people "What's your name?", but the rest of the advice is appropriate. Chinese people will say, to complete strangers, "where are you going? Why?" They are curious - genuinely - but it does come across as obtrusive. Especially after 4 years of explaining yourself.

2. Chinese love numbers, and the number 8; the number 4 is very unlucky in China ("4" is "si", which is the same word as "death"). So they are very interested to hear what other numbers are unlucky in other cultures.

3. This point can not be mentioned enough. "How old are you?" "tell me about Christianity...." "How much do you weigh now?" are common questions heard daily in China .

4. I won't touch this. Got to love the reference to "the black people".

5. Not sure what this one is all about. It's not offensive to shake hands at the end of a party, is it?

6. Toothpicks are like the 4th course in a Chinese meal; 5 minutes are taken after the entrée to clean one's teeth. Just a reminder that's not common in the US.

7. It's sad this needs to be said, but oh so true.

I could add 20 others to the list - like "it's common in the US for women to shave their armpits" - but that would be a post in itself.

Back to the Browns - a big game today to see where we are as a team. If we are an 8-8 team - or maybe even a 9-7 team - then we should beat a below-average Titans team on the road. Will the Titans team from week 1 magically show up to beat us? Willl we have a 4th game decided by a last-second field goal? The answers coming up in 4 hours.

To the games:
Car 26, Chi 20.  Thoroughly unimpressed with the Bears. They are one-dimensional on offense; a good defensive team should shut down a 1-D team.

Hou 27, Dal 20. Love Houston's defense; they should be able to get pressure on Romo, and that could cause mistakes. Also, Dallas has Seattle next week; this is a classic sandwich game (with the Saints last weekend).

Det 31, Buf 16. I think Orton is a bad choice vs. the Lions and their defensive line.

Ind 31, Bal 24. The one weakness the Ravens have is their secondary; I saw this first hand 2 weeks ago. This is the Colts' strength. Now, can the Colts' D handle Flacco?

Pit 27, Jax 23. Pit can't lose again to another horrid Florida team.....can they? Please say yes.

NO 26, TB 13. Can we really trust the Saints to come out ablazing vs. the Bucs? Not sure.

Atl 24, NYG 20. Just a gut feel. I really have no handle on the Falcons, but I don't think the Giants' D is all that good.

Phi 24, StL 13. Talking about teams you can't trust...the only reason why I think the Eagles win big here is because I'm not sure the Rams have many weapons on O.

Den 24, Az 17. Should be a defensive battle here; Arizona's defensive front will cause problems for Manning but can't score enough to win.

SD 23, NYJ 20. The Chargers always have problems with the Jets at home, and the Jets D can make some plays. This is a desperation game for the Jets, who now know they can win the division.

SF 23, KC 17. This is not a letdown game for the Chiefs, since the 49ers are just not that good.

NE 27, Cin 24. In Belicheck I trust  - at least for this week only. Just when you think they are done.....

Sea 23, Was 16. Both teams will try to control the ball and the clock, meaning a lot of long drives.

Best bets: 15 of them. Last week: 5-8. Overall: 29-28-1.

Car -2 1/2
Hou +6 1/2
Det -6 1/2
Ind -3
Bal/Ind over 49
TB/NO under 48
Atl + 3 1/2
Atl/NYG under 50
Phi -6 1/2
Stl/Phi under 47 1/2
Az/Den under 47 1/2
NYJ +6 1/2
NE +1
Cin/NE over 45 1/2
Sea/Was under 45

Supercontest: Last week: 4-1. Overall: 13-7.

Car -2 1/2
Hou +5 1/2
Ind -3 1/2 (there's that hook again)
NYJ +6 1/2
NE +1