Dec 27, 2006

NFL Week 17 Picks: "Plinko"


First of all, hope everyone had a Merry Christmas and for those readers not in North Carolina this weekend, have a very Happy New Year.

For the final week of the season, we come to ye olde favorite, Plinko. You never know what's going to happen when you slide that chip down the plinko board - and you never know what kind of performance you are going to get from teams during this last week. Will they mail it in (I'm talking to you, Cleveland)? Will they fight for their embattled coach (Raiders, Cards)? Will they fight for a coach they love even though they have no talent (Lions)? What playoff contenders will fall on their face this week? You know one of these teams - Giants, Jets, Broncos - will lose.

Let's go to the board:

Was 24, NYG 23. A fitting end to the Giants' season, no?
KC 20, Jax 17. I have no idea on this game.
NYJ 17, Oak 13. Oakland's defense is good. This spread is way too high.
Sea 24, TB 10. I know tampa is favored, and Seattle has nothing to play for, but I think Seattle wants to establish something before the season is over - they'd like to look good in 1 game.
Cin 27, Pit 13. The Bengals taking out their frustrations.
NO 20, Car 17. Yikes. Don't watch this.
Ten 24, NE 20. Milton Berle game I. Why would the Pats show anything here?
Cle 47, Houston 3. So Ken Dorsey goes out with a line like 35-51, 354 yds, 3 tds. Now what do we do?
StL 27 , Min 17. Jackson plays well in domes.
Dal 23, Det 20. Milton Berle game 2.
Den 26, SF 23. This will be a fight to the end.
SD 27, Az 10. Warner is back at QB for Arizona? Good luck there. And the Chargers are playing for something.
Ind 20, Mia 16. I'm rethinking this one now, but I think we all are overvaluing the Colts.
Phi 24, Atl 16. Bye bye Jim Mora.
Bal 26, Buf 13. Can't fault Jauron for passing up that dicey FG last week into the wind. Gus Johnson was apopletic in the booth.
GB 27, Chi 24. C'mon - NBC is scripting this game. Favre goes out with a win and into the playoffs. You know it's happening.

16 best bets:
Eric: last week: 7-9; overall: 132-116-8
Derek: last week: 8-8: overall: 125-131-1

I need to go better than 6-10 to guarantee a winning record (>52.3% ) for the year.

Was +2.5
Oak +11
Sea +4
Cin -6
NO +3
StL -2
Det +13
SF +10 1/2
SF/Den Over 40 1/2
SD -13.5
SD/Az under 44
Mia +8.5
Ind/Mia under 42
Bal -8.5
GB +2.5
GB/Chi over 36

Dec 23, 2006

Week 16: "Switcheroo"


I love this game - I wish they played it more on TPiR. Basically, it's like setting your fantasy football lineup. You have five prizes, one of which is a car, the other four being "consolation" gifts under $100. You need to correctly match the 4th digit of the car and the 1st digit of the remaining gifts with the 5 numbers you are given.

Whichever ones you match correctly with the actual prize, you win! It's kind of like Fantasy Football in the sense that you are given 2 or 3 choices to start at QB, RB, WR, etc. every week - and you've got to pick the best one out of the list to maximize your points and win.

Quick fantasy football update. What a year so far. I was in 3 leagues:
League #1: 9-4 regular season, winning the regular season on a tiebreaker and winning 50% of the pot ($500). Lost in 1st round of the playoffs.
League #2: 9-4 regular season, division champion, and playing in the championship game this week. I am the 2-time defending champion. My opponent is starting - get this - Derek Anderson.
League #3 - the church league - I finished up the regular season with 4 wins to finish at 7-6 with LdT as my star; I swept through the playoffs and won.

So- totals: 25-14, with at least one championship under my belt. Not bad.

Week 16 predictions:
KC 24, Oak 10. There are rumors - imagine this! - that Shell may be fired.
Buf 17, Ten 13. Off the bandwagon again.
NO 31, NYG 24. The NYG defense is not good. I thnk Brees and co will have their way.
Atl 23, Car 10. Has Carolina given up?
StL 17, Was 16. Low scoring, lots of rushing yards.
Ind 27, Hou 17. I'm not trying to figure out hte Colts anymore.
Pit 20, Bal 13. I'm buying into this "Steelers still have a shot" talk...
Cle 20, TB 10. And Derek Anderson is anointed the starter for 2007.
Chi 21, Det 13. Even if Chi rests their starters, I'm not scared of Kitna against the Bears.
Jax 24, NE 20. The Jekyll and Hyde Jags return.
SF 26, Az 13. The 9ers are on a roll.
Cin 23, Den 17. Hello - Cutler's first win last week was against Arizona. Here, they will play a real NFL defense, and Cutler will struggle.
Sea 20, SD 17. Somewhere soon, Marty will cost them a game. I believe this is it.
Dal 27, Phi 20. I'd love to see Philly win, but I just can't understand how.
Mia 22, NYJ 16. The Jets are WHO WE THOUGHT THEY WERE! An overrated teamwith a gaudy record against sub 500 teams. The Cleveland rule applies here.

Picks:
Eric: Last week: 8-7-1; overall: 125-107-8
Derek: Last week: 11-5 (!): overall: 117-123-1.

16 best bets this week:
KC -7
Ten/Buf Under 37
NO +3
NO / NYG Over 47
Atl -6.5
Atl/Car Under 41
Was/Stl Under 43 1/2
Pit -3.5
Chi/Det Under 43
NE/Jax Over 36 1/2
SF -4
Az/SF Under 45 1/2
Cin +3
Sea +4.5
SD/Sea Under 46 1/2
Mia -2.5

Saturday ramblings

1. Good to see Derek alive and somewhat well with his post. I was worrying about him for a bit. Seeing his picks tells me he's at least breathing and concentrating on the important things, like football.

2. As far as I know, there is no set agenda for the weekend besides the three scheduled activities:
- Friday 1 pm: shower for the girls
- Saturday 6 pm: Reheharsal dinner (for some)
- Sunday 3 pm - ?: the big event.

We can use this blog to start planning any other events for the weekend. Friday at 8 pm is the Maryland-Purdue game; I think Don has plenty of Purdue gear and he will pay me $$$ to run around Friday night decked in yellow and black.

(You all can then get back at me by pissing me off by wearing Texans gear on Sunday for the big Cleveland-Houston game - but good luck finding any Texans gear....)

3. Speaking of the Browns, I will be one of approximately 10,000 fans in attendance tomorrow in Cleveland! Last minute plans came through, and we have 50-yard line upper deck (row 3 ) seats for the game. However, the tickets came electronically; I have to print out some pdf files and supposedly show that at the entrance. Has anyone done this before? Will this work?

4. Thanks Ryan for the link to the Cliff Hangers music. Is there a way we can work that into the reception, Derek?

5. Need the oddsmakers out there: If Derek's wedding is at 3 pm:
a. When is the last time that Eric will look at his pager before the wedding?
b. Will Eric look at the pager during the ceremony?
c. Starting at 3 pm, how long can Eric go without looking at it?

6. Quick question: We pulled into a bank the other day to get money out of an ATM. There were two lines for the drive-thru at the bank two cars deep.
Who uses the drive thru anymore at banks? For what purpose? Anyone?

7. On November 1st, I had no idea who Ben 10 is or what network it was on. Now, I am running around Targets throughout Cincinnati to find the one alien character that is out of stock. I felt like Sinbad in that bad Chirstmas movie with Arnold.

8. Was in the return line at Toys R Us. I noticed there were a couple of letter magnets on a pole right behind the return desk. The letters were:
"n o b j"
Umm.... is this a message to the staff of some sort? Is this a problem at the return desk? Or is this purely coincidence? I didn't have the courage to ask Taniqua, the lady helping me with my return.

Football picks to follow....

Dec 22, 2006

Bobafett? Bobafett?

Holy Shit, I'm getting married in 8 days. Fuck!!! What the hell was I thinking. No joke. Seriously. I'm one of the most selfish guys that I know. Nothing against Carol, since she knows all of my faults and puts up with it, but jesus this is just so.....Final. This is it isn't it. Crap. I feel like Solo when he was blind on Jaba's ship looking for Bobafett.

Anyway, for those of you coming down, you are in for a treat. Carol said that everything is perfect. The house is crazy big. 3 big floors with the bottom floor being a room with several couches, pool table, fooz ball table, and a flat screen. Told her that most of us will be down there watching the games and she said that was cool. Add in Eric's table games (Vegas Style) and this could be ground breaking for a wedding. Football and Gambling at a wedding? Let's see.

Onto the games which is the only thing that keeps my mind off of all of this shit right now.

College
Rice -5.5
S Florida -5
NM -3
Utah -1
Hawaii -7

Home Underdogs that I'm taking
Raiders +7
Texans +9.5
Seattle +4.5
Detroit +5.5

Buying into the Sportsguy
Denver -3
Browns -3
Atl -6
Jets +2

My own shit
Rams Under
TN -4.5
Giants Over 47.5

Dec 17, 2006

Some quick follow-ups

1) About the college bowl pool; I have received two emails for pools that people have to pick against the spread. One is for a $5 entry; the other for $35. Email me if interested.

2) Records for the Derek vs Eric challenge:
Derek: Was 100-108-1;
week 14: 6-10
overall: 106-118-1

Eric: Was 109-92-7
week 14: 8-8
overall: 117-100-7

3) Yahoo Sports is now reporting that Browns C LeCharles Bentley is out for the 2007 season as well. I saw that posted on a site but don't have the link. Great - at least we find out about the bad news 8 months in advance, so we're not surprised by it.

(And if anyone was surprised in general by this news, well, you're not a Browns fan then. )

Week 15 NFL picks: "Cliff Hangers"



I wish I knew how to attached audio to a blog post. I would be able to find that obnoxious yodeling and attach it to this file in honor of our Pricing Game this week, "Cliff Hangers"!
The last three weeks of the NFL season are like the three prizes that you have to guess in Cliff Hnagers. One really bad move - like guessing "$500" for a $35 blender - would cause Olaf to go over the cliff. But if you make the right moves, and limit your losses, you too can win and make the playoffs.

Predictions for this week:
(submitted Saturday): Atl 24, Dal 13. Well, this was way off
NYJ 20, Min 17. So many people are trying to convince to take the Vikings - but one question for them. If they only scored 3 against the 9ers, how are they going to score here? Detroit gave them so many points last week thru turnovers.
Bal 27, Cle 7. The end of Romeo starts?
NE 31, Hou 13. Tell me a reason why this game won't end like this.
Buf 19, Mia 16. I am just biased against Miami. Stay away from this.
Pit 20, Car 13. Pittsburgh just looks good - and now they have 10 days of rest to face a dejected Panthers team.
NO 27, Was 17. Should be a comfortable win for the Saints.
Jax 27, Ten 20. Jax is too good to lose here, with the playoffs on the line.
Chi 20, TB 3. How is Tampa going to score? Oh yes, they'll save it for next week.
NYG 28, Phi 23. Can't figure this one out.
GB 30, Det 20. It will be warm in Green Bay, so there will be lots of passes.
Den 23, Az 20. Cutler's first win? I have no clue on this one.
SD 27, KC 20. Niether on this one. I believe SD will have some letdown, however- it won't be a blowout.
StL 20, Oak 9. Again, tell me how Oakland scores on offense.
Cin 30, Ind 27, OT. A Monday Night classic.

16 best bets:
Atl +3.5
Dal/Atl Under 45
(wow - good start to the week)
NYJ +3.5
NE -11
Hou/NE Over 37 1/2
Pit pick
Jax -3.5
Jax/Ten Over 41
Chi -13.5
Chi/TB Under 34
Phi/NYG over 43 1/2
GB -5.5
GB/Det Over 44 1/2
StL +3
Stl/Oak Under 38
Cincinnati +3

Records to be posted later. Hopefully, witha good week this week, I can make Derek's hopes of winning this challenge go off a cliff, like this man's chance of winning the game:

Dec 11, 2006

DL Drew and other questionable moves

Anyone who doesn't care about the Red Sox should just click on the Next Blog link at the top right corner of the page....

OK, still here? I've been quiet on this topic for long enough, so I need to vent a little with regard to the Sox moves this winter.

The good:
1. Winning the Dice K posting. Yes, putting up 51.1 million just to talk to a guy is so piggish, that its amazing Steinbrenner didn't do it. But, it does make sense for the Red Sox. The feeling is that the Sox can recoup some of that money in new Asian revenue streams due to the exposure they'll gain. Also, this money is outside the scope of luxury tax calculations, so it can't really be added to payroll costs (although EVERYONE will add the posting fee to his contract and say "Is he worth 100 million????"). If he is a top end starter, then having him under their control for the next 4 or 5 years will be a big boost to the rotation of the future. Potentially a 2007 rotation of Schilling, Beckett, Dice, Wakefield and Papelbon isn't too bad, although every single one of them has MAJOR question marks. Can you ever remember a more boom or bust rotation?? Not one sure thing in that bunch, but each guy you could make an argument for winning 14+ games.

2. Sox ownership. I was convinced that back in 2002 the new owners would eventually pare down payroll a bit. Maybe not to Oakland or Minn levels, but closer to the mean level for larger market teams. Instead, they have spent pretty much without reservation. While this is not always a good thing, you'd rather have an owner who can spend than one who refuses to go over 50 million. Its clear that Henry has gotten caught up in competing with Steinbrenner and is saying "F it I'm a multi-billionaire, If we have to pay a little luxury tax... oh well".

3. Not giving Manny away.
Look, he quit last year. He decided when the season was over, and he shut it down. Well, about 2 weeks later the season actually WAS over, even though the Calendar still said September 1st. He can be a total pain in the ass, but he still produces. There really isn't anyone available that can make up for his offense if you remove him from the lineup. So, despite their efforts to move him, they weren't just going to give him away (even though they already did that by placing him on waivers in 2003!!). That is a good decision. Manny is going to report in March, because he wants his 16 million (wouldn't you?). If someone like the Angels or Dodgers gets involved and gives you a nice package of players/prospects that maybe you can turn around for an Andrew Jones or someone you do it. Otherwise, I'll see Manny doing Manny things again this season for the Red Sox. Lather Rinse Repeat.

OK, now the bad:

1. DL Drew. Yikes. Just a boo-fest waiting to happen. WTF?!?! I know his OPS is great, I know his hit charts say he'll hit .680 at Fenway with a zillion HRs, but he is ALWAYS hurt. Every report says he doesn't really give a shit, has bounced around from a ton of teams already, the Dodgers are practically doing backflips now that he is gone....and the Red Sox hand him 70 mil!?! You have to love Theo saying he is a "complimentary player" at his press conference. What a freaking joke. For 15 million per year!? And Damon wasn't worth more than 10 per??? Ouch, a terrible miscalculation that has led to a cascading series of questionable moves.

2. Closer. Apparently they don't need one in 2007. They'll have a payroll of about 150 when it is all said and done, yet the bullpen door will swing open in the 9th and out will come....... Nobody!

3. The overall plan. What the hell is it?? Draw a "Patriot-esque" line in the sand on Damon saying you won't go above this number, then spend like drunken sailors on Drew and Lugo. Last season they "had 7 starters", but yet they had to acquire guys who were waived by the Royals to make starts for them since they had so many guys hurt and nobody ready to take those starts in AA or AAA. They trade away Arroyo for Pena, let Damon walk - so they have to scramble and trade for Crisp. Now they sign Drew, so they are back with having Pena as a 4th outfielder having watched Arroyo lead the NL in innings pitched. Ouch. Lets not mention letting Orlando Cabrera walk, overpaying for Renteria, then eating 3 million per on his contract just to get him out of town. Last year the buzzwords were "run prevention", they were going with a plan of pitching and defense. Now they got rid of the middle infield (which was brilliant defensively), and brought in a guy who is an avg fielder at SS. And they still haven't really addressed the pitching problems.

This overall circus of moves over the last couple years reminds me of the Wizards in the mid to late 90s. Remember when they were making trades that if you looked at each one in a vacuum, you could defend it as a decent move (bringing in Rod Strickland, bringing in Richmond, trading Rasheed, etc). However, colectively when you go back over all the transactions together you say WTF just happened??? Thats the Red Sox right now. Not good.

I'm not pining for the days of Lou "what would we do with Willie McGee?" Gorman, but an overall sense of a plan would be nice. Of course, if JD Drew blasts a 3 run HR off Pettitte in the first Yankee series, I'll be telling everyone what a genious Theo is....

Monday Morning Ramblings

Went to another concert last night with Carol and her friends to go see The Shins, Pete Yorn, Modest Mouse, and some other alternative band called Silvertrain something or other.  I really can't remember.  I've been to concerts where I absolutely hated the music or I loved the performance, but this concert was just so blah.  Terrible music to go see live.  Its like they are trying to be cool and alternative, but when you break it down they are more like Neil Diamond, but with less passion.   The bands had no personalities and the music was just OK...I guess.  I left with absolutely no opinion on the performances at all, which was such a strange feeling.  

Did anyone watch the Jack Lalanne segment on Real Sports. Creepy guy since he blinks once for every word he says, but he is truly amazing. Did you know that he invented all of the universal machines but forgot to patent all of them? Ouch.  He comes off saying that all he needs in his life is his health and family, and I guess that's how he has to justify leaving billions on the table. 
 
Wedding- OK, I'm tired of this.  Eric caught the brunt of this the other day and I apologized to him because his question was just bad timing, but to answer everyone's questions, I don't care what you wear to the wedding.   Wear what you want to wear.  Yes its on the beach, but its still a wedding.  I will be wearing a tux and Carol will be wearing a nice wedding dress.  Yes, it more than likely will be cold outside, so bring a coat.   What type of coat?  I don't know.  Its like everyone (and yes I mean everyone) has turned into a 5 year old and can't make up their mind on what to wear.   Jesus.  But keep in mind my mom will be judging everyone, so dress accordingly.  Ha!!!!

This Real World has a chance to become legendary. I'm serious. They have gone over the top with the casting. Two big black guys, one gay and one straight, another gay guy that has some serious issues with the big black guy and his own sexuality, two borderline lesbians who love to do the triple kiss thing, one strange girl that its clear will flip out on someone by the end of the show just to get some attention, and one male whore that will probably end up screwing everyone in the house. And I mean everyone, even the big black guy. I'm so excited!!!!

And finally, Fantasy Football. I backed into the play-offs in my Farmers League (12 teams) and end up beating the 1st place team to advance. Now I face a team that is starting Drew Brees. Now in my other league, I'm in first place, starting my first week of play-offs and I have Drew Brees. What a dilemma. I don't know what to do on this. Both are equal money payouts for winning the play-offs so it makes it so tough to decide what to do. Should I just start my backup QB (Vick) in the one league, just so I don't have an issue. Also, RRD how did it turn out on the Kitna-Favre thing? Who did you start and who won?

Dec 10, 2006

More Random notes


Just some random thoughts....

1) It is constantly disorienting to catch a 6:00 am flight from Cincy to OHare, fall asleep on the plane (since I have to get up at 4 am to catch the flight!), land, and then be told the time is 5:45 am. I don't care how many times it happens, it is just odd for me.

2) Another OHare sight.... if you use the term "folklore schmoklore" on your cellphone conversation, the next three words should NOT be "that's fuckin bullshit".
What are you, an urban Amish teenager?

3) It's hard for me to get too excited about the Cavs when the lose to the Knicks, Bobcats, and Hawks at home. Aren't these the worse teams in the East? It's hard for me to imagine NBA champions like the Bulles, Lakers, Pistons, etc. losing to the dregs in the regular season. How good are the Cavs if they lose to these types of teams on a semi-regular basis?

4) Well, as Don Henley would say, "I got the call today, I didn't want to hear... but I knew that it would come...". Went in for my measurements for the tux. Let's just say my waist size does not start with a "3" anymore.

I know I'm not exercising enough, and my weight is like the stock market - gradually setting all time highs - but I wasn't prepared for it. But - amazing! - I tried on the larger pants, and it's a nice fit! Now I've got a quandry. Do I actually go out and by 3-4 more Dockers/slacks in the new size, or do I assume I will lose the weight over the next couple of months?

5) So I need to change my lifestyle to fit in some exercise. The only option I see is to get up a little earlier in the morning - like 6 - and jog then. I seem to be dead at night (9 pm) after putting the kids to bed, and it's hard to get motivated when you feel exhausted. So now I have to force myself to get up at 6 and go out and run... when it's 15-20 degrees out. I can do it - I did it in Iowa - but it's hard to force those good habits back again.

6) There may be a chance for Janice and I to go to the Browns' game Christmas Eve - vs. the Bucs. How sick am I to be excited to actually go to a home game to watch a 4-9 team play a 3-8 team? It would be our first home game since.... wow, since when? The Browns-Colts game in 2002? Geesh.

7) The kids' favorite show in the morning is the Snorks, followed by the Wacky Races. God love the Boomerang network. We're currently watching a promo for Hong Kong Phooey. Should I introduce them to pot now, or wait until they watch Scooby Doo for 5 hours straight?

8) I hate to say this to the Terp fans out there - but where is the signature non-conference win? Both Illinios and Michigan St are down this year, and probably will not make the tournament. Looking back, I think the Winthrop win will look mighty good in March.

Dec 9, 2006

Week 14 NFL Picks: "Hole in One..."

No, I can't put together some neat-o analogy of the NFL to this classic game. I realized I hadn't used it yet, and it is one of my favorite games - so here you go.

Is this game really fair? I mean, if you have never picked up a golf club in your life, how are you supposed to make a putt to win a car? Scott Hoch - a pro - couldn't make a 2 1/2 foot putt to win the Masters, so how is Betty Frunagle from Cape May, NJ, supposed to make a 2 footer for the Chrysler Le Baron?

On to the picks:

KC 24, Bal 21. Should be a good game; Trent Green looks like he is mostly back.
Atl 17, TB 10. On the Browns board on Friday, we were talking about firing Romeo and a possible replacement, and one poster said : "How about Jim Mora Jr.? It looks like he will be fired from Atlanta!". NO NO NO NO. That man is insane.
Det 23, Min 13. Geesh, Minnesota looks bad.
Ten 20, Hou 13. I can't tell you how awful that Hou-Oak game was. And I watched it in 20 minutes on the Short Cuts on DirectTV. The 4th quarter was:
Oak turnover
Hou: 3 plays, lose 5 yds, FG
kickoff
Oak turnover
Hou: 3 plays, lose 2 yards, FG
kickoff
Oak turnvoer
Hou: 3 plays, lose 4 yards, FG.
That's how they scored 9 points in the 4th to win, 23-14.
Car 23, NYG 20, OT. Should the Giants just draft Brady Quinn next year?
Dal 31, NO 23. I need a few TDs from Romo.
NYJ 16, Buf 13. I've gone back and forth on this one - I actually think the Bills have a chance here.
Ind 27, Jax 20. I just can't see the Colts losing here.
Phi 19, Was 13. I like how Philly has come together after the injury. And -as SG says - is there a Ewing theory in here somewhere?
CIn 27, Oak 7. How is this only 10 1/2 points?
NE 24, Mia 20. This should be a tight one till the end.
SF 20, GB 14. The Pack can't play on the road.
Sea 31, Az 27. No defense for Az plus an offense that just passes = a shootout. Did you see the Az-Min game? The Cardinals ran the ball5 times all game. Five!
SD 26, Den 10. What is Merriman going to do to Cutler?
Chi 20, Stl 17. Monday Night Home Underdogs....

Best bets:
Bal/KC over 36
Atl -3
Atl/TB under 37 1/2
Det -1
Ten -1
Car +1
Buf/NYJ Under 37 1/2
Ind -1
Phi -1
Phi/Was under 40 1/2
Cin -10 1/2
NE/Mia Over 37
GB/SF under 43
Sea/Az Over 45
SD -7 1/2
StL +6 1/2


Overall records to be posted tomorrow.....I had a good week and Derek did not, so my lead has grown. If Derek's afternoon picks go bad, he might need Bob to hit the button so he can double up on the night games and make it "Hole in One........ or Two!"

Dec 7, 2006

I'm supposed to get excited over...

Joe Borowski?
Roberto Hernandez?
Aaron Fultz? (well, I guess stealing a White Sox player isn't so bad)
David Dellucci?

Buster Olney seems to love our moves... I hope so. The four guys above clearly could play well, but it won't be a surprise if they don't.

And Octavio Dotel may be next?

These are all questionable moves... it could work out, then again, it may be another Jose Jimenez signing. I guess I just have to wait until April.

Who wants a slice?


I'm still torn over this signing. I'm happy that its not a multi year contract, but I'm concerned that he will not be enough to replace Thomas. Floyd is next on the docket for us, but I'm sure TX and company will drive up the price. Spending $8.5 million on Piazza doesn't leave us with much room to go after Floyd.

But what I really like is the Embree signing. This allows Kennedy to move into the starting role again, moving Sarloos back into the bullpen which is always good. Harden (not going anywhere. Just a ploy by the Mets on Boras), Harren, Blanton, Loiaza, and Kennedy is pretty solid. This also gives us a really outstanding bullpen in Street, Duke, Calero, and Embree. Not bad at all.

Onto Thursday night football. What is the ploy here by the NFL? Why put these games on Thursday night on the dish. Is anyone watching? Is anyone buying the dish because of this? I want to see numbers, because I think this is a terrible move. The games really aren't that good. No offense, but Browns-Steelers isn't a big draw this year. The Bengals-Ravens- who cares really. Talking to my staff here, who are big football guys, they aren't making any moves to buy the dish over this. We just all stay at the office late to watch it on our TV that is hooked up to the dish network. Now start moving a group of games on Sunday and then I think you will get a bigger response. But just one game on a Thursday night probably isn't having the impact that they thought it would have. Agree? Disagree?

Dec 4, 2006

Monday Night Dog saves the day

OK, some non sports related items....

1. I'm tired of work. I feel defeated. Talking to these no talent claim reps kill me. And to think that they are married, have kids, and a mortgage and they still preform so poorly, it kills me. I want to jump across the desk and slap them around telling them that I'm going to fire them in 30-60 days because they suck. Oh and their excuse to me is always "I'm having personal problems at home." And what do I say to that?? F that. That's what I say. I remember when I broke up with Amy and was in pretty bad shape, I found my safe haven at work. Yeah I cried a little bit everyday after lunch, spent the mornings reading old emails in my archive from her, and slept with a girl that we called "The Linebacker", but I worked my ass off. It was the only place where I could take my mind off of all my personal problems. But these kids now, yes kids, they just don't know how to cope with anything.

2. Finally I picked the right time to stop eating Taco Bell!!!!

3. Is it me or does Brittany look absolutely wonderful. I mean just fabulous. And that crotch shot doesn't hurt things either. It feels like 1998 all over again.

4. Watching Studio 60 for the first time and I'm totally unimpressed...Pretty crappy. Its like West Wing without the interesting topic. I mean this writing was great when you are dealing with national security, but when you are writing about finding snow for the set, it sucks.

5. Number 1231 why I'm having second thoughts on getting married. I have to fill a cat stocking with Christmas presents. Yup, I was assigned a cat to go buy toys for. I wanted to get a live guinea pig, but I mistakenly told Carol this and it was vetoed. Can you imagine how much fun it would of been to watch two cats go bezerk on a guinea pig.

6. One sports related topic which I forgot to mention- A big furniture store had a promotion last week, that any furniture that was purchased last week, and UCLA won, then it was free. Ooops.

7. I was kidding by the way about getting married. I can't wait. Totally excited. I just realized that the ceremony will be at 3:30 and we have fireworks for New Years Eve, so that makes close to 8 hours of straight drinking. Hmmmm. This could get very very ugly.

Preach on, Brother Edwards!


In the post-game news conference, Braylon was asked about the upcoming Thursday night game with the Steelers. Four words said it all:

"To Hell With Pittsburgh!"

Right on, Brother Braylon! You better have 52 others in your flock by Thursday!

Smartest Man Alive

As the Winter Meetings start up I want to give props to one of the smartest men alive...Scott Boras.

Several weeks ago, when JD Drew opted out of his contract, Austin and myself were just laughing at how stupid Drew was for doing that. He was overpaid to begin with. The guy can't make it through 140 games without playing half of those with no energy at all. He should be happy just to be getting paid double digits each year.

Then we heard about Boston and how they might pay him $15 million a year. What???? I called Austin and we were just laughing. I wanted to call Jay and tell him this would be one of the worst moves to date if they signed Drew, especially if they thought that he is going to be able to replace Manny. To take a line from BSG, try asking a fan of the prior team on a player you are about to sign to see if it is a good move. The answer is clearly no. Unless you feel as if $15 million is a good move for someone who will probably play 120 games and hit 25 homers.

And this news came on the heels of trading Manny. Why do they want to trade Manny? Once again, this would be terrible for the Sox. Manny is one of the greatest hitters of our time and despite being somewhat of a liability in the outfield. He IS worth the $20 million you are paying him. Especially now, when Drew and Lee will get $15 million a year. Why is it that every year this comes out?

Now onto the A's:

1. That Loiaza deal is looking really nice now isn't it. Wolf getting $12 million makes Loiaza's $7.5 million a year look like a bargin.

2. If Bonds comes to the team (highly unlikely) I'm not too sure what I'm going to do. I can't say that I won't watch anymore, since I will, but I would be so pissed. I almost hate Bonds as much as I hate Rutgers.

3. Losing Frank Thomas isn't as bad as losing Zito. No way Thomas replicates what he did last year, so not only would we be paying more for less, we would have to find improved players to make up for his dip in production. Now Zito, who throws 230 quality innings (most of the time) will be harder to replace. Harden, Haren, Blanton, Loiaza, and our #5 isn't bad, but there is no depth. Counting on Harden is like counting on Peyton Manning in the playoffs.

4. Word on the street is that we are looking at Piazza and Floyd. Man I love these washed up players. It all started with David Justice (who I absolutely loved).

Bowl Crazy

Is it just me or does anyone really care that Florida made the championship game over Michigan? I can understand why Florida made it over Michigan and at the same time I wouldn't of had a problem if Michigan made it over Florida. Very weird that I don't have a strong opinion on this. While both teams only have one loss, they both have major holes in their schedule and both can hang with Ohio St. Should be interesting.

Now onto some other bowl comments:

Purdue-MD: WOW, how exciting. Both of these teams have fucked me during the entire year, so I'm probably going to stay away. Maybe the over at 52? That seems high though.

Rutgers-Kansas St: I wanted to go against Rutgers so bad, but Kansas St fell apart at the end, despite their win over TX. They remind me of MD, win a few, then just totally collapse against teams that they should beat. Fuck Rutgers!!

Hawaii-ASU- The over/under is 75. 75!!!! And I don't see how I can't take the over. 42-35 as the final score?

Clemson-KY- Kentucky in a bowl???? I'm licking my chops on this one. Wiz, any thoughts?

Boise St-Oklahoma- Either of these teams could be playing for the National Championship. If it wasn't for the blown call against Oregon, Oklahoma would have one loss and probably be in the running, and Boise St is undefeated but play in a super weak conference. I was hoping that both of these teams would be playing someone else like LSU or Wake so I could take them, but now they are playing against each other and I have no clue who to take. This will be a great game though. Take Boise St and the 8 points.

LSU-ND: I like this match up for some reason. I think LSU will win, but giving 9 points? I'm taking ND.

Louisville-WF: Nice pull Orange Bowl. I'm going super heavy with Louisville. They should be playing for the National Championship if Rutgers didn't fuck it up with a game of a lifetime. Again fuck Rutgers.

USC-Michigan: Not a bad Rose Bowl at all. Can someone tell Pete Caroll to stop going for it on 4th down? Its like they are playing backyard football every week with this shit. It cost them the Championship last year and the UCLA game this year.

WV-Ga Tech- I hate the ACC. Let's go WV!!!!!

Wisconsin-Arkansas- Interesting matchup. Don't like either teams, and I think that Wisconsin is way over-rated.

Cincy-W Michigan- Fuck Rutgers, let's go W Michigan.

Texas Tech-Minnesota- How the hell did Minnesota make a bowl game?
Nevada-Miami-How the hell did Miami make a bowl game?

I'll continue this tomorrow as I have to get back to work.

Dec 3, 2006

One more Vegas note


Everyone remembers the Thanksgiving episode of WKRP in Cincinnati, right?

"Happy....... Thaaaaaaaaa.....nks......giving! Happy Thanksgiving!
From......W...............K..................R...............P!!!!'

Well, I swear I feel like Mr. Carlson that Saturday night in Vegas before the Rutgers-Cincinnati game.

To borrow from his final line of that episode:

"As God as my witness.... I thought Rutgers would win by 30."

Dec 2, 2006

Vegas Trip Wrapup

Gees! I never got a chance to post about the Vegas trip. First of all, thanks to all who joined us for Derek's party. I hope we all made it a special weekend for Derek - and thanks to all the attendees for putting up with us degenerate gambling addicts and our idiosyncrasies over the few days.

And - financially - I ended up about even for the weekend, based on two shocking turn of events at the end of the trip.

Random thoughts from the weekend:
1) Dumbest move: When I arrived, I sat down with Derek and 7 others at lunch int the House of Blues restaurant. The waiter came over and asked if I wanted anything; I hastily replied "Vodka Tonic". Uh sure - you can pay $7 for it now, or pay... let's see... $0 for it in 20 minutes.

2) I'm saddened that I turned 8-10 people away from the Blue Jackets for the rest of their lives.
3) I saw a row of "Blazing 7's" slot machines on Friday; I called Kermit to tell him I was thinking of him - I believe he was on the internet at that moment searching out plane tickets to come out for Saturday. He better make it out in March - right, Mer?

4) On every trip, you can look back and see a "turning point" - the point where (from a gambling wins/losses standpoint) went south. I believe that would be waking up on Saturday. (that's better than some trips, where the turning point was getting in the cab at the airport!)

5) Dammit, if you know for a fact that the Terps are going to lose - then bet it! Bet it big! Don't do this pansy ass $22 bet against the Terps. Betting against a favorite sports team is NOT the same as betting don't pass. Agree?

6) It was great fun sitting at the sports book for 12 - TWELVE - straight hours on Saturday. However, I've got to adopt the Don Hershey eating cycle for those sessions, since it is VERY easy to not eat for 12, 15, 18 hours. Stomachs and intestinal systems don't like that very much.

7) Forgot about the craps session at the Excalibur. That was fun, even though we were all losing money.

8) I don't have the absolute hatred of teh Excalibur that others do, but it is a weird place. Even the pit bosses are creepy - one talked to me for 10 minutes about his son's baseball team in Iowa while I was playing Texas Hold Em (the table game). I was going to scream "I don't care!" but I was winning, so that helped my mood.

9) Went back to the Monte to buy magic tricks for the boys. I walked thru on Sun afternoon - there were $5 craps, blackjack available - and a $5 Pai Gow table! How do they make any money on that at all?????

10) Can't tell you how depressing and deflating the Browns' loss was in the sportsbook. That was harsh.

11) Played $5 craps at the Luxor later that day. I took Keith over with me - I think he had a great time observing the table and all the various bets and action. He doesn't know this, but I caught myself getting pissed at him. We were there for about 45 minutes,I was up $40, 50 or so - and I asked him what the score of the game was. He said he'd check, and left to the book.

next roller - establish a point, seven.
next roller - craps, establish a point, seven.
next roller - craps, craps, establish a point, seven.

Of course, we know whose fault this is. WHERE THE HELL IS KEITH????

(just kidding,Keith...)

12) But then had a fabulous black jack session over there. I'll blog about this later, but at a $10 table where I sat by myself, I turned $125 into $600 in 20 minutes.
I was supposed to meet Jay and Keith back at the Mandalay at 8 pm to leave for the airport; I left the craps table about at 7:30. I was walking thtough the Luxor when my eye caught an completely empty $10 BJ table. The table seemed to be under a little more light than the others. As I was still walking by, I looked at the dealer.

He gave me a small smile, held out his hand, and said, "Sir?"

I didn't intend to play, but it looked so inviting, and I had 20 minutes... .ok.

Let's just say the dealer was perfect - the one I want to have if they have blackjack in heaven. He was foreign - Turkish or Central Asian, I think, and spoke with a thick accent.
He was very formal - but not at all unfriendly. There was no small talk, but there was no doubt that he wanted you to do well. He said "thank you" every time you put a bet out for him - not just when he won. And then of course, when he won with me, he said "thank you" again. I sawre, in a 5 minute period, he said "thank you" 30 times.
His actual dealing was impeccable. It was not slow, but it was not overwhelmingly fast. I was able to think and process the cards without being rushed, nor was I waiting for the dealer to deliver the cards.

And I was the only one at the table - and when you have a limited amount of time, that's the only way to play.

I won a few right off the bat, so I started to increment the base $10 bet by $5 everytime I won.

I got to $25 and then started to put a $1 delare bet on hands over $25.

I eventually got to a $70 bet. That's how good it was.

13) I never play slots at all - but had some time in the airport so I put $20 in a video poker machine. About 10 minutes in, I drew "A-7-A-8-A".
Wow! I wonder what four of a kind pays? I look - it says 400 credits ($100).
Cool - I draw - I get a 2 and another Ace!

The machine starts binging. I look and confirm the pay - only the four of a kind line was not lit.

The next line above was "Four Aces". That payed 800 credits. But that was not lit.

The line about that was "Four Aces with a 2, 3, 4". That payed....2000 credits.

The only thing I know about slots is that if you hit a jackpot, don't touch anything and yell for help. So I let out a weird "aaaaaaaaaaaa!", not much in joy but more of a scream when you find a garter snake in your basement. The attendant came over, smiled, told me how to cash out, and I was on my way with $500 in profit.

14) I recovered much better this time from the red eye. I was able to work on Monday and was fully recovered by Tuesday (compared to a recovery date of Thursday in the spring). 4 cups of Starbucks on the trip home certainly helped.

Week 13 NFL Picks: Pathfinder



Sorry about all the non-posting, everyone. I have at least 17 topics to post on, including the Vegas trip. I promise that will be the next post.

Week 13's theme is "Pathfinder". Will the teams find a path to the playoffs? Or will they take 3 or 4 consecutive wrong turns that leads them off the stage with their Turtle Wax in hand as a parting gift?

(You know, when I was young, I always thought they said "party gifts". Wow - adults give Turtle Wax out at parties? That must be cool... . Of course, I was 8 at the time.)

So some teams better find the right digit # on the Pathfinder board this week, else it's off to the Showcase Showdown. This means you, Falcons and Jaguars and Giants and Panthers. Three of those will carry on, while one slips further down. On with the picks:

Chi 23, Min 10. And I have Chester Taylor. Yikes.

Pit 27, TB 10. Geesh, Tampa is terrible. That reminds me - the last 2 games for the Browns are Tampa and Houston. How much would it take for you to watch those two games for 3 hours non-stop? $50? $100?

StL 24, Arz 20. I benched Bulger in my fantasy league - he's like Jake Plummer to me.

Ind 31, Ten 13. Lost in the comeback last week is that the Titans were shut out through three quarters. Without gifts from the opposition, the Titans will struggle to score.

Jax 20, Mia 17. Just when you think it is over for the Jags...

NO 31, SF 14. NewOrleans is quietly heading to a possible #2 seed in the NFC. Wow.

Atl 23, Was 16. Why am I picking the absolutely INSANE Jim Mora, Jr.?

Cle 20, KC 17. No reason at all.

NE 31, Det 20. Kitna will have good garbage time stats.

SD 24, Buf 13. How can you go against the Chargers now? (Is that a gooch? I believe so.)

GB 23, NYJ 20. The Jets are horrid. The only reason they are 6-5 is their schedule. They are 5-1 vs. teams with a losing record... and we know who that "1" is. They are like the Bears from last year - if the Browns can beat them, how good are they?

NYG 27, Dal 24 (OT). Just a gut feeling. Buck has an orgasm in the booth over this game.

Hou 19, Oak 16. Of course, I will be watching this game instead, because I like train wrecks. (I watched the Hou-SF game in last year's week 17 versus the Was-Phi game. I had money on the Texans!)

Sea 27, Den 20. I don't buy this Jay Cutler = Tony Romo stuff, not againt Holmgren.

Phi 20, Car 17. What's that again about Monday Night underdogs at home?

Last week:

Eric: 9-7; overall: 98-87-7

Derek: 9-7: overall: 95-97-1 (how do you go through ~200 games and only have 1 push????)

Best bets for this week (16):

Chi -9.5

Pit -7

Ind -7.5

Jax pick

NO -7

Atl +1.5

Det/NE Over 42

SD -6

Buf/SD Under 42

GB pick

NYG +3.5

NYG/Dal over 43 1/2

Hou +3

Sea +4

Sea/Den over 40 1/2

Phi +3